Why smart people defend bad ideas
differing views (Thimk), sciencing Comments Offhttp://www.scottberkun.com/essays/essay40.htm
Why smart people defend bad ideas - scottberkun.com:
“Instead I’m saying that short term bits of data are neither reliable nor a wise way to go about making important long term decisions. Intelligent people do this all the time, and since it’s so commonly accepted as a rule of thumb (last time + the time before that), it’s often accepted in place of actual thinking. Always remember that humans, given our evolution, are very bad at seeing the cumulative effects of behavior, and underestimate how things like compound interest or that one cigarette a day, can in the long term, have surprisingly large impacts despite clearly low short term effects.”








